Conor Bradley has not played since knee surgery in January 2026, and Ali McCann is out for months with a hamstring injury. Northern Ireland host the second round of Group B2 at Windsor Park three days after travelling to Georgia, with a squad averaging 24 years and four teenagers. That is why Hungary fits the shape of this match: the hosts lose the anchors of their defence and midfield, the turnaround is short, and a young side must hold its structure against a team with promotion potential.

Poland's wait for a win on Swedish soil stretches back 76 years. The most recent head-to-head ended 3-2 to Sweden on 31/03/2026. Poland arrive minus Grabara and Benedyczak, while Rózga is doubtful. Selection: Sweden. Solna and the recent series give the hosts the edge, and Poland's absences in goal and attack make the home win the natural fit for this contest.

Fotis Sgouris has kept three clean sheets in three league outings, and Greece Super League 2 regularly sees 58–63% of matches finish below 2.5 goals. Marko under Soulis Papadopoulos in a 4-2-3-1 shut down space and control tempo once ahead, while Panthrakikos arrive as a deep underdog built around a low block. The game points to a narrow home win or a cautious draw — 1:0, 2:0 and 1:1 exhaust the likeliest outcomes, and every one of them sits inside the Under 2.5 line.

Only one of the last nine Asturian derbies produced more than 2.5 goals. Real Oviedo score 0.80 per game this season; Sporting Gijón score 0.83. With Chaira, Domingues and Fernández out for Oviedo and Ferrari, Guillamón and Gaspar missing for Sporting, Under 2.5 is the natural fit for a tight, tactical derby.